Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 2nd, 2019 4:47PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada cgarritty, Avalanche Canada

New wind slabs, buried wind slabs, and lingering persistent slabs are maintaining a complex mix of avalanche problems. Be mindful of how this mix changes by elevation. Expect to find touchier surface instabilities in areas with new snow.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Clear with cloudy periods. Light northeast winds.Sunday: Sunny. Light northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around -15.Monday: Sunny. Light northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.Tuesday: Sunny with cloud increasing in the evening. Light east winds. Alpine high temperatures around -8.

Avalanche Summary

Observations from Friday showed a few small (size 1) wind slabs releasing with skier traffic on east aspects at ridgetop. Small (size 1-1.5) loose dry avalanches were also observed releasing naturally from steeper, sun exposed slopes. On Wednesday, a few rider triggered wind slab avalanches up to size 2, on primarily north aspects at treeline and above were reported.Persistent slab avalanche activity on the mid-January weak layer has slowed down, but not stopped. This layer has created a low likelihood, high consequence scenario in the snowpack at treeline and below. Check out the great photos from a recent MIN. Take note of the low angle terrain and the light load of a single ski track that triggered this avalanche. This avalanche also stands out for its 2000 m elevation, which is considerably higher than most recent persistent slabs have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Spotty convective flurries brought up to 30 cm of low density new snow to a few areas of the region at the end of the week. This new snow likely overlies sun crust on sun-exposed aspects. Below any new snow, recent strong northeasterly ridge-top winds have created wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Under this wind affected layer, older buried wind slabs exist on a variety of aspects. These remain a concern for overlying facets (weak, sugary snow), causing them to remain reactive for longer than is typical for a wind slab problem.There are two prominent weak layers in the upper snowpack. One was buried at the end of January, and the other mid-January. They are approximately 40- 60 cm and 60-90 cm below the surface. Both layers consist of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) and may be associated with a crust on steep, south facing slopes. These weak layers have been most prominent and most reactive below treeline.The lower snowpack is generally considered to be strong, except for shallow, rocky areas where the cold temperatures continue to facet (weaken) the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent wind slabs can be found on all aspects and new snow is available to redistribute into fresh slabs in much of the region. Below these newer slabs, hard, buried wind slabs have remained reactive due to the weak, faceted snow they sit on.
Forecast northeast winds will focus new slab formation on southwest aspects.Steep and rocky terrain are likely places to trigger buried wind slabs.Avoid wind loaded pockets near ridge crests and back off from slopes that feel hollow or drum-like.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Reports of persistent slab avalanches are becoming less frequent, suggesting a lower likelihood, but high consequence avalanche problem focused at lower elevations. This problem requires discipline and careful terrain selection to manage effectively.
Avoid steep, open and/or sparsely treed slopes at and below treeline.Avoid low elevation cut-blocks where this layer is well preserved.Use conservative route selection; choose moderate angled terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 3rd, 2019 2:00PM