Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 3rd, 2014–Mar 4th, 2014

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Alpine temperature -10.0 and ridgetop winds light from the North. Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Alpine temperatures -11.0 and ridgetop winds moderate from the East.Thursday: Cloudy with snow amounts near 5 cm. Alpine temperatures near -6.0 and ridgetop winds light-moderate from the East. Freezing levels 300 m.

Avalanche Summary

Over the weekend a minor natural avalanche cycle occurred in the northern part of region. Slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported from alpine and treeline cross loaded features. North aspects in the alpine continue to be the most likely slopes for triggering the February weak layer where it may be well preserved and allow for long fracture propagations resulting in very large avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

Cold arctic air has developed melt-freeze crusts on all aspects at lower elevations, and all but North aspects in the alpine. No recent reports of whumpfing or remote triggering on this weak layer of crusts and facets. Forecast strong Northeast outflow winds may continue to develop wind slabs in areas that still have snow available for transport. Basal facets and/or depth hoar remain a concern in shallow snowpack areas in the northern part of the region. Cornices are also large and may become weak if northerly winds start to undercut them.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

North aspects in the alpine are the most likely slopes for human triggering the February weak layer. Avalanches releasing on this deeply buried persistent weak layer may be large and destructive.

Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>Use conservative route selection, stick to moderate angled terrain with low consequence.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5

Wind Slabs

Strong Easterly winds continue to scour slopes and develop hard wind slabs in areas that have snow available for transport.

Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4