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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 4th, 2016–Dec 5th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

This last storm has dropped 25cm of snow but has also increased the hazard.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

There is up to 25cm recent storm snow and an additional 10cm forecast until the end of day on Sunday. This new snow along with what has fallen so far will keep the avalanche hazard at Considerable in the Alpine.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed.

Snowpack Summary

20-30 cm of storm snow is overlying a buried wind slab. This new snow and the buried wind slab down 50cm are both reactive to snow pit tests in the Alpine. These two layers are certainly a concern for triggering. The November 12th melt-freeze crust is now 40-60cm down from the surface and is still showing a good bond with the snow above.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Concern for this storm snow to become effected by the wind.
The recent snow may now be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

These buried wind slabs are present in the alpine and treeline.
The recent snow may now be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Dry

Recent storm snow is either loose or has become effected by the wind.
Choose ice climbs that are not exposed to avalanches from above.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2