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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 2nd, 2013–Apr 3rd, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Glacier.

Positive overnight temperatures to 2200m will  have prevented a crust from forming keeping the snow more unstable today with added sunshine.

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure is slowly weakening, cloud cover is expected to increase this evening bringing very light precipitation into Wednesday morning. Brief clearing on Thursday before a more significant system arrives Thursday night.

Snowpack Summary

Multiple crusts and moist snow in the upper one meter of the snow pack on south, east and west aspects. On due north aspects there may still be dry snow to be found at tree line and above.

Avalanche Summary

4 loose natural avalanches from size 1.5 to 2.5 along the highway corridor.Numerous loose wet avalanches to size 2.5 on the west face of Mt Mcgill.

Confidence

on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

With no refreeze overnight at 2100m, it will not take long for direct solar radiation to trigger avalanches on sunny aspects.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

Glide cracks, gaping cracks in the snowpack, exist on many slopes and have been failing with the warm temps. They can fail unpredictably, and release the entire snowpack to the ground.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Cornices

Cornices are large and unsupported. They are more likely to fail with solar warming, and may trigger deeper slabs.
Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4