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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 11th, 2019–Feb 12th, 2019
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Cascades - West.

Continued snowfall with wind and warming will lead to dangerous avalanche conditions Tuesday. Avalanches could run far and fast. Avoid open slopes greater than 35 degrees where you are likely to trigger avalanches.  

Discussion

Snow and Avalanche Discussion

About three feet or more of snow has fallen in since Friday morning. The recent snow has fallen at cold temperatures and may be weakly bonded to a hard underlying crust. The most recent snow has fallen with strengthening winds and gradually warmer temperatures making slab avalanches more likely. Avoid suspected wind loaded terrain, especially near ridges and choose conservative terrain during this time of elevated danger.

Snowpack Discussion

Regional Synopsis Coming Soon

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Up to 3 ft or more of recent low-density storm snow is sitting on a hard crust layer. In some areas, buried surface hoar or faceted crystals above the crust are making for very poor bonding. Expected new storm snow falling with increasing winds and warming temperatures should be enough to tip the balance in some areas, especially steep terrain being loaded with wind transported snow. This is a time to dial back and choose conservative terrain. Storm slabs can be avoided by sticking to low angle supported slopes. Cracking or whumphing of the snow is a valuable warning sign that anticipated problems are in your terrain.

Release of a soft cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within the storm snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slab problems typically last between a few hours and few days. Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

 

You can reduce your risk from Storm Slabs by waiting a day or two after a storm before venturing into steep terrain. Storm slabs are most dangerous on slopes with terrain traps, such as timber, gullies, over cliffs, or terrain features that make it difficult for a rider to escape off the side.

 

Storm slabs usually stabilize within a few days, and release at or below the trigger point. They exist throughout the terrain, and can be avoided by waiting for the storm snow to stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1