Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 9th, 2012 8:57AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Monday: A weak ridge of High pressure is forecast to bring moderate gusty NW winds overnight that should decrease during the day as the flow shifts more Westerly. The Westerly winds are expected to increase to moderate Monday evening. Very light precipitation overnight and none forecast for Monday.Tuesday: A cold front is expected to move down the coast from the North sometime Monday night, bringing 2-4 mm of precipitation that should fall as snow at all elevations. Expect SE 20-40 km/hr and the gusting to NW 60 km/hr later in the day.Wednesday:There is another system forecast to move onto the coast in the afternoon. Timing, precipitation amounts, and wind values are uncertain at this time.

Avalanche Summary

Evidence of previous avalanches up to size 3.0 from Mt Joffre at 2000 metres. Ski cutting produced heavy sluffing.

Snowpack Summary

There is  about 140 cms below treeline in the Duffey Lake area, with 30 cms ski penetration and waist deep foot penetration at treeline. At 1900 metres on a NE aspect there was 60 cms of very light (Fist) density snow above slightly stiffer (4 Finger) snow. Snow stability tests showed only mid storm collapses. The Coquihalla also has a well settled "right side up" snowpack that is about 190 cms deep at 1550 metres elevation. "Right side up" means that the surface layers are light and soft, and then the layers get progressively more dense as you move down through the snowpack. The ski penetration has been reported to be about 40 cms and the foot penetration is very deep at 80 cms. The light snow is causing a lot of sluffing in steeper terrain, but is not reacting as a slab. The November crust has not been found in the Coquihalla, although we don't have any reports from the high alpine. Conditions may be quite different in the North of this region, please email us your observations if you are out in the field. forecaster@avalanche.ca

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Expect touchy windslabs to develop in the Alpine and at Treeline as forecast Northwest winds start to transport snow.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 5

Valid until: Dec 10th, 2012 2:00PM

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