Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 16th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mbender, Avalanche Canada

Email

Weak layers in the mid and lower snowpack are likely still reactive to human triggering. Stick to conservative terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Persistent slab avalanche activity seems to have tapered in the past few days. That being said, explosive control has consistently produced small to large (size 1.5 to 2.5) slab avalanches across the region over the past week. These avalanches all occurred above 2200 m and have failed on both surface hoar and facet layers.

There were reports few size of a size 1 wind slab avalanches on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of new snow buried a recently formed surface hoar layer, sun crust, and wind-affected snow. A prominent rain crust is found 30 to 50 cm deep and has been reported to extend as high as 2300 m around Invermere and 2000 m around Golden. A layer of surface hoar is also found at this depth and is a particular concern in areas without a thick crust. The bottom of the snowpack contains large weak snow grains and in some places a hard crust near the ground. Typical snowpack depths at treeline are 60 to 110 cm, and taper rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Mainly cloudy with clear periods with, alpine wind southwest 15-30 km/h, treeline temperature -8 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with sunny breaks, alpine wind west 20-40 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud, alpine wind southwest 10-20 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with flurries, alpine wind southwest 15-30 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use conservative route selection and resist venturing out into complex terrain.
  • Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Choose terrain assuming there are buried weak layers capable of producing large avalanches. A 30 to 60 cm deep surface hoar layer is triggerable in areas without a rain crust, and weak facets sit at the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slab avalanches may remain possible to trigger on leeward terrain features such as ridgecrests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 17th, 2023 4:00PM