Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain on Monday

Saturday: Mixed sun and cloud with possible flurries. Freezing level 1600m. Winds light from the north.Sunday: Mostly clear and sunny. Freezing level 1700m. Winds light to moderate from the northwest.Monday: Sunny with cloudy periods. Freezing Level rising to 2200m. Winds light from the west.

Recent reports indicate cornice triggered avalanches to size 2.5. Lots of loose wet activity to size 2 on all aspects between 1700 and 1900m Wednesday. Some natural wind slabs ran naturally to size 2 on NE and E facing features at 2500m also.

Warm temperatures resulted in the freezing level reaching to almost 2400m early this week in the southern Purcells, around 1800m in the north. This has helped to settle out last weeks storm snow, it's reported to be bonding well to the old surface. Strong winds out of both the SW and NW have redistributed what little dry snow still exists at upper treeline and alpine elevations into wind slabs that are most prevalent immediately lee of ridge crest Three persistent weak layers exist in the highly variable snowpack of the Purcells:The mid-March sun crust/surface hoar layer down 50-80cm still has potential for human-triggering in isolated areas. The early-March crust/facet/surface hoar layer down around 80-120cm has become less susceptible to human triggering, but still has the capacity to produce large avalanches.The mid-February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is typically down 60 - 120cm. Direct triggering of this layer has become unlikely, however, cornice fall, a smaller avalanche in motion or prolonged warming may wake this layer up, which would result in very large and destructive avalanches.Weak basal facets exist in many areas, but triggering is unlikely.