Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 23rd, 2020 4:13PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Loose Wet and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada marcus waring, Parks Canada

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Overnight freezing levels will be high, allowing warm temperatures to saturate the front range snowpack. Watch out for wet loose avalanches at tree line and below east of the divide.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Thursday night: Freezing level 1600m with 1- 2 mm of precipitation.

Friday: Mainly Cloudy. Freezing level 1800m. Moderate to Strong SW wind. 1-2 mm of precipitation.

Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Freezing level 1400m. Wind SW.

Sunday: Cloudy.1-5mm of precipitation. Freezing level 1400m.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to extreme SW winds have formed wind slabs at all elevations. These windslabs have the potential to trigger weak layers deep in the snowpack during this warm period. The base of the snowpack consists of crusts and weak facets formed early in the season. The snowpack east of the divide is significantly shallower and inherently weaker.

Avalanche Summary

Public report of Natural Sz 1-1.5 loose wet avalanche activity at Bertha Lake on Thursday January 23.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

If the snowpack dose not freeze overnight the hazard will be significantly higher.

  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

As temperatures warm, the basal facets may become a player again, especially in the relatively shallow front ranges. Consider overhead hazard, the consequence of a small avalanche triggering a deeper slab, and stick to deep well supported terrain.

  • Avoid thin, rocky or unsupported slopes.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Jan 26th, 2020 4:00PM