Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Saturday: Sunny. Moderate to strong northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.Sunday: Mainly sunny. Light variable winds. Alpine high temperatures around -9.Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures of -10.

Explosive control work on Thursday produced very large destructive storm slab results from size 3-4+ on north and south aspects the Skeena corridor, as well as a remotely triggered (from 400 m away) size 2, storm slab at treeline in the Shames area. On Wednesday and Tuesday we received a reports of a large (size 3-3.5) natural cycle as well as two very large (size 4 and 4.5) natural avalanches that failed in deeply wind-loaded areas. The larger of these occurred near Snowbound Creek west of Terrace on a south aspect at 1400 m and ran full path from ridge top to valley bottom, destroying a significant amount of mature forest beyond it's historical trimlines. There was also a report of a size 2 skier-triggered cornice release on Wednesday that occurred on a northeast aspect at 1300 m, northwest of Terrace.

Strong outflow winds have been scouring and redistributing recent storm snow accumulations of 50-100 cm into deep and reactive wind slabs on a variety of aspects. Within this storm snow, a layer of surface hoar down about 10 cm has been reported as reactive to skier traffic in sheltered areas below treeline.  The interface at the base of the storm snow consists of heavily wind affected surfaces at higher elevations as well as sun crusts or dry facets in sheltered terrain. Another interface composed of sun crust, facets, and more isolated surface hoar can be found about 100-150 cm deep. Deeper in the snowpack, around 150-200 cm down, you'll find a crust/surface hoar layer from January which still has the potential to be triggered from a thin snowpack spot, or with a large trigger like cornice fall. Basal facets may be found near the bottom of the snowpack in colder and drier parts of the region, such as in the far north.