Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Ridge wind light, southeast. Temperature -12. Freezing level valley bottom.SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light to moderate, east. Temperature -12. Freezing level valley bottom.SUNDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind strong, southeast. Temperature -12. Freezing level valley bottom. Alpine inversion.MONDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation up to 5 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Temperature -12. Freezing level valley bottom.

Thursday there was a report of skiers, north of Kispiox, remotely triggering a Size 2-2.5 avalanche from a safe location on a ridge that released on the adjacent slope on a northwest aspect at 1650 m. A weak layer buried late-December was the suspected failure plane.Wednesday there was a report of a skier-triggered Size 1 wind slab avalanche on a northwesterly aspect at 1650 m in the northern part of the region, east of Ningunsaw.Tuesday there were reports of easily-triggered wind slabs 30-40 cm deep releasing to Size 1 in wind-loaded areas near ridge crests in the alpine in the southern part of the region.On Monday there were reports from areas north of Kispiox of reactive storm slabs up to size 1.5 and 25 cm deep releasing with skier traffic on steeper, convex terrain.Reports from late last week showed a notable increase in persistent slab activity at lower elevations in the Howson Range. In this area, three Size 2 releases failed on steeper terrain with remote triggers on the mid-December weak layer, found 50 cm below the surface.

Recent light snowfalls have gradually brought 20-60 cm of new snow across the region. This new snow has buried the mid-January interface which features a crust that exists well into the alpine and isolated pockets of surface hoar in sheltered areas at lower alpine and treeline elevations. Below the mid-January interface, deeper weak layers in the snowpack include crusts and surface hoar layers that were buried late-December and mid-December and now lie 50-80 cm below the surface. Recent persistent slab activity over a surface hoar and facet 'combo' buried in at low elevations in December suggests that a persistent slab problem may be developing as the mid and upper snowpack consolidate into a stiffer slab over this layer.