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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2019–Feb 7th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Avalanche activity appears to have tapered off with the drop in temperature. Bundle up if you are headed out!

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow. Cold temperatures down low with a strong inversion breaking down overnight and light NE windsWednesday: Sunny with cloudy periods, alpine high -18. Light N winds.Thursday: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Alpine high -15. Moderate W winds

Snowpack Summary

20-30cm of recent low density snow has been redistributed by previous strong to extreme west winds, and more recent moderate NE winds in the alpine and at treeline. This sits on a melt freeze crust below 2000m. The midpack is strong in deep snowpack areas, but the facets lingering at the bottom remain a concern in thinner areas.

Avalanche Summary

After peaking on Saturday with several storm slabs to size 2.5 reported in surrounding regions on N-NE aspects at treeline and in the alpine, avalanche activity appears to have tapered off with the drop in temperature.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.