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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 9th, 2015–Jan 10th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Treeline areas have the best potential for powder turns.  Alpine terrain is mainly wind affected but hey, the windslab is supportive in most areas making for fast travel!

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

No new snow over the weekend.  NW flow will continue in the moderate range at the higher eleavations and temperatures will continue to remain seasonal.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed on Friday but over teh past 72hrs there have been a few slides up to sz 2 on solar aspects and a few isolated windslabs up to sz 2 on more northern aspects.  Most of these slides are at treeline and down 30-50cm on what we suspect is the Dec 13th crust.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread wind affect in alpine terrain.  Treeline areas have pockets of wind slabs in open areas and good snow in more sheltered terrain.  The Dec 13th Rain Crust is being found up to 2200m on all aspects.  Its currently buried down 30-50cm with a weak layer of facets overlying this crust.  The mid pack continues to settle and strengthen and the Nov 6th crust is down 100-140cm in most areas but it is showing signs of breaking down.  Solar aspects have a thin melt freeze crust on steeper areas up to 2500m. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.