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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 17th, 2014–Mar 18th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Conditions are prime for human-triggering. Choose conservative terrain and give the snowpack some time to heal. Watch for periods of intense solar radiation that will quickly de-stabilize the snow on solar aspects.

Confidence

Fair

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday with temperatures near -4 at ridgetop. Winds will be moderate to strong from the west. Light accumulations of snow are expected on Wednesday and Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

Several Na loose dry avalanches up to size 1.5 in steep terrain on all aspects at all elevations. Ski cutting produces small sluffs on steep North aspects at treeline.

Snowpack Summary

35cm of low density storm snow in past 48hrs is bonding well to previous surfaces. Moist snow on solar aspects in late afternoon when sun poked out. Previously formed crust buried 35cm is found below 1900m on all aspects, but this crust extends into the Alpine on solar aspects. Isolated ski-controlled sluffing in steep North aspects. Feb 10th found down an average of 100cm at treeline and still produces variable shears.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.