Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2015–Mar 19th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Recent new snow has refreshed the skiing but the solar aspects are pretty rugged due to crusts.  Polar aspects are producing the best skiing at this time.  Watch for increasing winds throughout the day on thursday.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Freezing levels are expected to drop overnight and then be around the 2000m mark again on Thursday.  Expect some mixture of sun and cloud and nothing in the way of precipitation.  Winds are forecast to be gusting into the strong range out of the SW. 

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed.  But field teams were out of the area by early afternoon.

Snowpack Summary

On solar aspects expect to find a sun crust all the way up to the peaks.  This crust was still 1cm thick at 2500m on Wednesday and where is was steeper, the crust was bullet proof and hard to get an edge into.  On more shaded and northern aspects, a winter snowpack can still be found.  Pockets of windslabs should be expected along ridgelines but due to light winds over the past few days, these slabs do not appear to extend far downslope.  The freezing level on Wednesday was around 2100m and there was intense solar radiation later in the day.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.