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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 16th, 2015–Feb 17th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

http://www.pc.gc.ca/apps/scond/Cond_E.asp?oID=19299&oPark=100092The beautiful weather and easy travel should be enjoyed, but remember that the variable snowpack depths are not a reliable bridge for the rotten snowpack base.

Weather Forecast

Overnight cooler temperatures are expected for the next several days, which will provide a stabilizing effect to the snowpack surface. No significant precipitation is expected, and sunny conditions will provide strong solar radiation to south and southwest steeper slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50cm of more settled snow and several different crusts to near treeline elevations provide a lot of support and good travel in the upper snowpack. These firmer upper layers are resting on 50-75cm of weak, poorly bonded faceted snow crystals. Large triggers like small avalanches or cornice drops will easily collapse the upper bridging layers.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported today.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.