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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 17th, 2015–Nov 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Icefields has received 35cm since this morning. Another 20-30 may arrive tonight. Highway 93 and Maligne lake road closed until further notice.

Weather Forecast

A continuing storm may bring up to another 30cm Tuesday night with moderate Westerly winds. Highway 93 and Maligne lake road is closed.

Snowpack Summary

Snow depths are variable between 70 to 140 cm observed in the Icefields. Generally unsupportive below treeline and improving at you approach TL and above. Moderate to strong ridge top winds have created soft slabs on top of a weak unconsolidated early season snowpack particularly on lee aspects. Threshold values have been reached on many slopes.

Avalanche Summary

Visibility on Tuesday was limited due to blizzard conditions but expect natural activity. Previous field observations have found a very extensive storm cycle on all aspects between 2200 to 3200m ranging from size 2 to 3 running on ground to mid-path. Most recently, 3 significant events on Mt Amery area (just north of Sask River crossing).

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.