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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 12th, 2024–Jan 14th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Cold temps will continue over the weekend. Be thinking about the "what ifs" is you go out such as a binding breaking, a tweaked knee or any injury. Minor situations can become major emergencies in this weather.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed on Friday from the warmth of the truck.

Snowpack Summary

Last weeks snow is slowly settling under the influence of the cold temperatures. Winds have been light to moderate and variable in direction so watch for windslabs in alpine areas on all aspects along ridgelines and in open terrain. These same windslabs will also be present at treeline but not as common as in the open alpine areas. A spotty surface hoar layer is down 30-50cm at treeline that is also worth investigating. Deeper in the snowpack is the Dec 5th melt freeze crust that will be inportant as a layer to watch and the weak basal facets under this layer. Thin snowpack areas are places where triggering this layer is possible.

Weather Summary

Cold weather continues and hopefully we have hit the bottom! It was -46 at Mud lake Friday am and all stations were reading below -40C. That was a first! Look for warm temps start to move in Monday afternoon. Although, -20 would feel warm after today!

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Windslabs are forming along ridgelines in the recent storm snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

This problem will be with us all season. At higher elevations there is more concern that these deep persistent weak layers could be human triggerable.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3