Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 3rd, 2014 8:08AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

The weather pattern will change to a moist and mild southwest flow starting on Thursday; however, most parts of this region won't see much warming until Friday or even Saturday.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

The weather pattern will shift to a milder and wetter southwest flow starting on Thursday. Clouds increase and light precipitation should begin by Thursday afternoon. Another pulse of heavier precipitation is expected Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. The transition from cold Arctic air to mild Pacific air could result in an above freezing layer on Friday – giving us freezing rain. This should dissipate by Saturday afternoon leaving us with a freezing level around 1000 m. Ridge top winds are moderate to strong from the Southwest.

Avalanche Summary

No new reports of avalanches. Please let us know what you're seeing out there at forecaster@avalanche.ca.

Snowpack Summary

Most areas experienced heavy rain last week up to 2000 m, or even higher. Higher elevations may have continued to see wet snow accumulate, and possibly a lot of it. Rapid cooling early on Friday probably left a solid rain crust near the surface, but in some areas it's already buried by 10-15 cm of light snow. Outflow winds (from the north or east) have likely created thin wind slabs in exposed lee terrain. A weak layer of facetted snow on a crust may be lurking deeper in the snowpack. However, it's possible this weakness was 'flushed' out with the recent heavy precipitation. There's limited recent info on this weakness so I recommend digging to confirm the existence of the layer, its depth, and to test its strength.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent Northeast winds may have developed new wind slabs or reverse loaded some slopes in the alpine and at treeline.
Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 4th, 2014 2:00PM

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