Avalanche Forecast

Good

The ridge of high pressure flattens on Thursday allowing a couple weak disturbances to cross the province. We should see more cloud with possible light flurries each day. The freezing level is around 1500-1700 m on Thursday and should lower to around 800-1000 m by Saturday. Winds are light gusting moderate from the W-NW. The ridge rebuilds on Friday but we might not see full clearing until late Saturday. After this it looks like at least a few more days of dry and sunny weather.  

Early this week there were several reports of natural and explosive triggered slabs and cornice falls to size 3. Almost all of these slides occurred on high alpine slopes with cornice related activity being specific to NE-E slopes below ridges. On Tuesday there were also reports of fresh wind slabs (10-20 cm thick) being reactive to skier traffic.

Expect to find surface crusts on solar aspects and all aspects to at least 2000 m. At alpine elevations, thin new wind slabs or storm slabs may be found and cornices are large and weak. Underneath newly formed near-surface crusts, you may find moist snow. The late-Jan crust/surface hoar layer is 1-2 m deep in the west, and can be found within the upper metre of the snowpack further east. It is variably reactive and still the main concern in many areas. The mid-January surface hoar, deeper again, remains problematic in some areas. The mid-December and mid-November weak layers of crusts and facets can still be found near the bottom of the snowpack, particularly in shallower eastern parts of the Purcells.