Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Thursday

Some moisture trapped in the south to north flow coming out of Washington State should bring 3-5 mm of precipitation (5-10 cm of snow at treeline) overnight, and another 3-5 mm of precipitation during the day on Thursday. Winds are expected to be light from the southeast and alpine temperatures should remain around -5. High pressure with light winds and cooler air should move into the region from the north on Friday. Some flurries may continue on Friday and Saturday with periods of broken skies and alpine temperatures around -10. The north of the region may be closer to -15 in the alpine by Saturday.

Thin new windslabs were reported releasing up to size 1.0 in the north of the region. One third hand report of a remotely triggered size 2.0 wind slab on a North aspect at 2440 metres near Panorama.

Light new snow falls have buried large surface hoar on all aspects at and below treeline and on shaded aspects in the alpine. Easterly winds associated with the new snow may have disturbed surface hoar in the alpine. New snow on southerly aspects may be sitting on a sun crust and/or surface hoar, providing an easy sliding layer. The new snow should be mostly unconsolidated except where it has been re-distributed by the wind. Fresh wind slabs may be sitting on 10-20 cm of facetted snow on all but steep solar exposed aspects. In the southern Purcells, (west of Kimberley), a prominent layer of buried surface hoar has shown to be reactive to human triggers. In this part of the region, it's buried down 40 cm with a cohesive slab above it. Shallow snowpack areas and moraine features may have weak facetted snow near the ground that will require time and some warming to strengthen.