Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 21st, 2019 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Thinner snowpack areas within the Little Yoho region are the main concern. In these areas human triggering of the basal facets is still possible. Probe often to help determine snow depths and assess the strength of the lower snowpack.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Temperatures will increase slightly on Tuesday but remain near -10 C at treeline. Winds will pick up out of the SW on Tuesday morning, becoming strong by late afternoon. A few cm's of snow is expected but accumulations will be limited. On Wednesday winds are expected to calm down, with 5-10 cm snow arriving before a clearing trend begins Thursday.
Snowpack Summary
5-15 cm of snow sits over the Jan 17 layer of surface hoar, or sun crust. Thin wind slabs can be found in alpine lee areas from strong SW winds on Saturday. Of greatest concern are the weak facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack. In thinner snowpack areas (i.e. less than 150 cm deep) triggering a slab on these facets is more likely.
Avalanche Summary
Little natural avalanche activity has been observed over the last week. A group in the Emerald Lake area triggered a wind slab on Saturday in lee alpine terrain, and a group on Dolomite Shoulder triggered a slab on the basal facets on Sunday. Small wind slabs have been triggered by control work at the local ski hills in the last few days.
Confidence
Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Wednesday
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
Weak facets and depth hoar are present at the base of the snowpack in thin snowpack areas, and have a significant slab sitting above them. While natural avalanche activity has decreased, human triggering of this layer is still possible in these areas
Be aware of the potential for wide propagations which could result in large avalanches.Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Southwest winds in the moderate to strong range on Saturday created thin, soft wind slabs in the alpine 10 to 20 cm deep. Use caution in lee areas.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 22nd, 2019 4:00PM