Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 3rd, 2018 4:51PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
Tuesday night: Scattered flurries bringing a trace to 5 cm of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds.Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds. Freezing level to 1200 metres with alpine high temperatures around - 8.Thursday: Mainly cloudy with light flurries beginning in the afternoon and continuing overnight. Light northeast winds. Freezing level to 1100 metres with alpine high temperatures around -9.Friday: Friday cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow, continuing overnight. Light southeast winds. Freezing level to 1500 metres with alpine high temperatures around -3.
Avalanche Summary
Monday's reports included one observation of explosives remotely triggering a size 3 persistent slab 50 metres below the explosives placement. Numerous small (size 1-1.5) and reportedly hard wind slabs were also triggered on various aspects with both explosives and ski cutting. One large (size 2.5) natural cornice fall was reported as well.Reports from Sunday included several more storm slab and wind slab avalanches from size 1-2. These were both skier-triggered and ski cut on north to east aspects at around 2000 metres and above. Slab depths of around 25 cm suggest the shallower weak layers identified in our snowpack discussion as failure planes. At least one larger storm slab failed at the deeper late-March layer, now labeled a 'persistent slab'.Saturday's reports included numerous observations of storm slabs releasing naturally as well as with remote (from a distance) triggering, skier traffic and explosives control. Sizes ranged from 2-3, with crown fracture depths varying from 30-100 cm. This activity occurred on all aspects but was focused at alpine elevations.Friday's storm caused another natural avalanche cycle with many size 1-2 avalanches in the top 20-30 cm of new snow.
Snowpack Summary
A variable 5-20 cm of new snow over Sunday night brought storm snow totals from the past week to a wide-ranging 40-90 cm. The snowfall was initially accompanied by strong south winds and then followed by strong north winds, so a mix of old and stubborn and newer, more reactive wind slabs can now likely be found on a range of aspects at higher elevations.Below the wind-affected surface, a few regionally variable weak layers exist within the depth of the recent storm snow, formed during breaks in storms that allowed for the formation of sun crusts on sun exposed slopes as well as surface hoar on shaded aspects. These shallower layers remain a concern, as does the similar mid-March persistent weak layer, now buried up to a metre deep. The reactivity of these layers appears to decrease with depth, however the mid-March layer still features in daily reports and the potential for deep 'step down' types of releases can't yet be dismissed.Deeper persistent weak layers from January and December are still being reported by professional observers, but are generally considered dormant.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 4th, 2018 2:00PM