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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 12th, 2015–Feb 13th, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Mt Hood.

Although less likely, the primary avalanche problems Friday will continue to be loose wet avalanches near and above treeline and lingering wind slab on lee aspects above treeline.

Detailed Forecast

Mild temperatures will prevail again on Friday with mid and high overcast. 

Loose wet avalanches are possible Friday on steeper slopes near and above treeline where recently fallen snow remains.    

As a result of the overall low snowpack, especially below treeline, watch for terrain hazards such as open creeks, partially covered rocks and vegetation.

Snowpack Discussion

The latest warm and moist southwesterly flow to impact the Pacific Northwest brought less rain to Mt. Hood compared to areas in the WA Cascades late last week. This led to further overall snowpack melt at lower elevations.   

The last frontal system crossed the south Cascades late Monday. This caused strong winds and heavy snow in the above treeline zone at Mt Hood.

On Tuesday, the Meadow pro-patrol reported 15 inches of new snow at 6600 feet. Avalanche control gave numerous size 1-2 wind and storm slab avalanches on lee slopes but with limited propagation. Similar wind slab concerns were reported on lee east aspects west of Timberline Tuesday on the NWAC observation page.  

On Wednesday, Mt. Hood Meadows pro-patrol reported high overcast had limited the loose wet potential on an otherwise mild winter's day, and no new avalanches were observed.  The latest indications from patrol were that wind and storm slab formed Monday, has stabilized under the mild weather over the past few days. 

The mid and lower snowpack at Mt Hood should consist of layers of stable consolidated rounded grains or melt forms and crusts from multiple warm periods this winter.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. They generally move slowly, but can contain enough mass to cause significant damage to trees, cars or buildings. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

 

Travel when the snow surface is colder and stronger. Plan your trips to avoid crossing on or under very steep slopes in the afternoon. Move to colder, shadier slopes once the snow surface turns slushly. Avoid steep, sunlit slopes above terrain traps, cliffs areas and long sustained steep pitches.

 

Several loose wet avalanches, and lots of pinwheels and roller balls.

Loose wet avalanches occur where water is running through the snowpack, and release at or below the trigger point. Avoid terrain traps such as cliffs, gullies, or tree wells. Exit avalanche terrain when you see pinwheels, roller balls, a slushy surface, or during rain-on-snow events.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1