Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Friday

FRIDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5cm during the day and another 5-10cm overnight / Light south southwest wind / Alpine temperature -11 SATURDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Light to moderate west wind / Alpine temperature -12 SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light northwest wind / Alpine temperature -10

Recent reports continue to show both natural and human triggered loose dry avalanches in steep terrain to size 1 in areas that have not been affected by wind. Additionally isolated wind slab avalanches have been reported in the alpine to size 1. Expect continued potential for triggering loose dry avalanches in steep terrain and consider the potential to trigger persistent slabs where last week's storm snow has settled into a cohesive slab.

Low density new snow is beginning to accumulate and bury a recently formed layer of weak feathery surface hoar and/or sugary facets. A layer buried mid-December that consists of surface hoar, sun crust and/or sugary facets is down approximately 30-50cm. The bond at this old snow interface is of critical importance where the overlying storm snow has consolidated into a slab. The most concerning areas are those that saw pronounced surface hoar development before the storm, such as sheltered areas at and below treeline and any area where the surface hoar may have formed on top of a sun crust. Recent snowpack tests show wide ranging reactivity on this layer but suggest that it may be most reactive on northerly aspects.  A rain crust that formed in late November is now buried 60-100cm deep. Recent reports show this layer to be unreactive at this time.