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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 30th, 2021–May 1st, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Yukon.

We've had rain at Fraser and freezing levels have been difficult to track in White Pass over the last 24hrs. Rain likely turns to snow at upper elevations and reactive Wind Slabs could be present in the high alpine.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to difficult to forecast freezing levels.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: -2C, wind S/SW 20km/hr, cloudy, 3cm of sleet at valley bottom, 5cm snow in the Alpine. Freezing level 1500m

SATURDAY: low -2C high 2C, wind S/SW 10km/hr, broken skies, light precipitation ending around noon

SUNDAY: low -2C high 3C, wind variable 10km/hr, broken skies, trace precipitation

MONDAY: low -6C high 4C, wind N/NE 10km/hr, scattered clouds

Avalanche Summary

Wet snow now overlies firm surfaces. In some places, this wet snow is not sticking well. Check out this MIN for more details. 

Wet loose avalanches up to size 2 have been observed throughout the region.

These types of avalanches will continue until we once again see below freezing temperatures overnight.

A big THANK YOU to all of you that provided us and fellow recreationists with observations this season. Please continue to do so if you head out!

Snowpack Summary

White Pass has now received over 24hrs of light rain and sleet at highway elevations. This has been accompanied by high freezing levels. This has contributed to the snowpack at lower elevations trending to isothermal and unsupportive. Above 1500m, the snowpack remains supportive to travel and dryer snow likely exists. 

The lower snowpack in White Pass is deep for this time of year with no layers of concern. Areas further inland, such as the Wheaton Valley, may have a shallower and weaker snowpack.

Cornices are still very large. Recent cold temperatures have kept cornice failures to a minimum but they should always be treated with respect in the spring, especially when temperatures rise.

Terrain and Travel

  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Freezing levels are highly variable at this time. Assess temperatures and wetness of surface snow closely as you transition from Treeline to Alpine elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Wind Slabs

Lower temperatures in the alpine may have allowed dryer snow to be blown into slabs. Use caution around wind loaded features. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2