Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
Heavy snowfall and strong winds will create very dangerous avalanche conditions.
Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended!
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Loose/dry surface sluffing has been easily triggered by riders & snow sliders, this will continue as the new snow falls.
Evidence is still visible of the large natural avalanche cycle from earlier in the week triggered by the high freezing levels and strong sun.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 10-30cm of snow recently buried variable surfaces, including a breakable crust, widespread surface hoar, and sastrugi in the Alpine.
Lurking below this is a persistent weak layer (PWL) of surface hoar, facets and/or suncrust (Jan 30th) 50-80cm down. Feb 16 is another PWL (facets/crust/surface hoar) down 30-40cms. Both of these layers are reactive to human triggering, and are present/reactive in lesser traveled areas within the park (ie Bostock Pass).
Weather Summary
The storm continues through the weekend. Roger's Pass will see heavy snowfall and strong winds.
Tonight Snow 10cm. Alpine low -5°C. Southwest ridge winds 35km/h gusting 70km/hr. Freezing level (FZL) 1300m
Sun Heavy snow. 20-25cm. Alp high -4°C. Ridge wind SW 25 gusting 70km/h. FZL 1500m
Mon Cloudy with flurries. Snow: 4cm. W wind 20 gusting 45km/hr. FZL 1000m
Tues Cloudy. Alp high -6°C. light winds. FZL 1200m
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeply buried weak layers and result in very large avalanches.
- Avoid the runout zones of avalanche paths. Avalanches could run full path.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Incoming storms will bring moderate to heavy precip with strong winds. This will build a widespread storm slab that will be most reactive in areas with wind transport. Storm slab depths will build throughout the weekend. Natural avalanche activity is almost certain, limit your overhead exposure
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Persistent Slabs
Buried persistent weak layer (PWL) 's exist in the upper and mid snowpack. Warm temps promoted the settling of a cohesive slab on top of this layer of suncrust/facets/surface hoar. This layer is still producing results in snowpack tests and sporadic avalanches in neighbouring operations
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3