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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2015–Feb 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

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Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

The current ridge of high pressure will break down on Wednesday. By late in the day, a weak pacific system will bring light snowfall which should last until Thursday evening (up to 5cm in total). On Friday, we can expect clearing skies as the ridge is expected to rebuild. Winds are forecast to be strong from the southwest with the pulse of moisture, and then ease to moderate and northwesterly by Friday. Freezing levels should hover around 1500m with the snowfall, and then drop to about 1000m on Friday

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

On high north-facing terrain. light amounts of cold, lower density snow overlie a widespread thick hard crust . Below about 2000m there is no snow on the crust and surface runnels show the effect of last week's rain showers. Sun-exposed slopes have become moist, or wet with recent daytime warming and solar radiation. Below the surface crust, the snow is still moist; however, the mid and lower snowpack are generally strong and well-consolidated. Most of the terrain below treeline is below threshold for avalanche activity.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.