Avalanche forecast

Nelson Lakes

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
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Highlights

Rain below 1900m increases loose wet avalanche danger at lower elevations on Thursday. Isolated wind slab may develop on steep south and east aspects in the high alpine.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5

    With rain below 1900m in the forecast and a high freezing level, loose wet avalanches may occur on all aspects, particularly in the mid-alpine.

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5

    Wind slab danger may increase on south and eastern aspects at upper elevations as forecast snow above 1900m is transported by strong northwest winds.

Recent Avalanche Activity

No new avalanche activity was seen from the air on the afternoon of the 12th. Please provide any snowpack or avalanche observations using the link below.

https://www.avalanche.net.nz/observations

Current Snowpack Conditions

Recent new snow has fallen above 1500 meters, accompanied by moderate to strong winds, resulting in wind slabs at higher elevations, lee to the west. Warmer temperatures earlier in the week have resulted in a well-settled, lower snowpack, and the storm snow has settled and bonded well. Warmer temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will increase loose wet avalanche danger. Snow and wind from the northwest may increase wind slab danger at upper elevations.

Mountain Weather

Snow showers developing above 1900m with rain below. Gale-force northerlies easing during the day. Freezing level 2200m.

Sliding Danger

Some wind-scoured slopes may be hard. Ice axe and crampons will need to be carried for mountain travel.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.
  • We are uncertain about forecast precipitation amounts.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered