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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 5th, 2017–Mar 6th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Avalanche control along the Icefields Parkway produced results up to size 3. The recent storm snow is stressing the snowpack and will require some time to stabilize, choose simple terrain that is well supported.

Weather Forecast

Periods of light snow with accumulations up to 2cm by Monday evening. Winds are forecasted to be light from the Southwest with temps ranging from -10 to -16.

Snowpack Summary

40cm of settling HST in the last 2 days came in under the influence of mostly light, with some moderate southerly winds. Soft slab forming at treeline and above. The mid and lower snowpack is structurally weak, the base of which is large (5mm) depth hoar crystals and a deteriorating rain crust.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control work produced results up to sz 3, some of which stepped down to deep persistent layers or to the ground where weak facets and depth hoar exist. Natural activity was most prevalent in the alpine and similar to the control work, was stepping down, resulting in deep releases, sz 2-3.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations on Sunday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.