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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2025–Dec 15th, 2025

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Purcells, South Rockies, East Purcell, Bull, Elkford East, Elkford West.

The likelihood of human-triggered avalanches remains elevated, particularly in wind-loaded terrain and steep slopes near treeline.

Additional snowfall may cause natural avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural, explosive, and rider-triggered avalanches have been reported throughout the week, ranging in size from 1 to 2.5 on all aspects and elevations.

Several of these avalanches occurred below treeline, sliding on buried surface hoar, and releasing in surprisingly low-angle terrain.

A few explosive-controlled avalanches have failed on the mid-November crust, all size 2 or smaller.

Snowpack Summary

Approximately 40 to 70 cm of recent storm snow now overlies potential weak layers of faceted snow at higher elevations and surface hoar at lower elevations.

A mid-November melt-freeze crust is buried 50 to 100 cm below the surface at lower-alpine elevations (around 2400 m) and below, but this crust appears to be absent in higher-alpine terrain.

Snowpack depths at treeline range from 90 to 140 cm and decrease rapidly at lower elevations.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy with 2 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Monday
Cloudy with 10 to 15 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1900 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy with 10 to 15 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy with 15 to 20 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.