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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2026–Feb 13th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Continually assess conditions throughout the day.

Small, isolated wind slabs could form on steep features at treeline and above.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast snowfall amounts.

Avalanche Summary

Our field team observed some old, small wet loose avalanches on Wednesday. These avalanches likely released on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Another 2 to 10 cm of storm snow is expected by Friday afternoon. This new snow will overlie a crust on all aspects and elevations except high north terrain where 35 cm overlies a deeper crust from early February.

The remainder of the snowpack is moist to ground.

The snowpack depth at treeline ranges from 85 to 130 cm, there is very little snow below treeline.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. 1 to 5 cm of snow, greatest snowfall amounts expected in the north of the island. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 1 to 5 cm of snow, greatest snowfall amounts expected on the north of the island. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 900 m.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 10 cm of snow. 10 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

Sunday
Mostly sunny. 1 cm of snow. 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • A hard crust on the snow surface will help strengthen the snowpack, but may cause tough travel conditions.
  • Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.