Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2023–Feb 1st, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Yukon, Tutshi, Wheaton, White Pass East, White Pass West.

A persistent weak layer exists in certain terrain features in the alpine. Layers like this are unpredictable and hard to out-smart. This problem could be around for a while and an overly cautious approach to large, connected, north-facing alpine terrain is prudent at this time.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A couple of large (size 2-3) persistent slab, human-triggered avalanches have been reported over the weekend. Avalanches have occurred near ridgetops in north-to-northeast alpine terrain. Both avalanches have shown an impressive capability of propagating large distances. Here is a link to the most recent human-triggered size 3 avalanche.

Uncertainty remains about the distribution and extent of the problem.

If you are out in the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

In alpine terrain, recent winds have created a variety of wind-affected surfaces. New snow and wind will create thin wind slabs in exposed terrain features. Recently formed hard surfaces and surface crusts had new surface hoar and facets on top before being buried. This new layer should be monitored closely moving forward.

Persistent weak layers of surface hoar and/or facets exist in north facing alpine features behind ridge lines, creating a number of recent, scary human-triggered avalanches.

Below roughly 1700 m a widespread, supportive, melt-freeze crust is present, with moist snow below.

Weather Summary

Tuesday night

Cloudy with light snow, 2 to 5 cm. Treeline temperatures -5 to -10 C. Moderate northeast alpine winds.

Wednesday

Cloudy, no precipitation. Treeline temperature -15 to -20 C. Moderate northeast alpine winds.

Thursday

Cloudy, no precipitation. Treeline temperature -15 to -20 C. Moderate alpine winds.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. No precipitation. Treeline temperatures -15 to -20 C. Light northeast winds.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.