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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 5th, 2026–Feb 6th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Valhalla, Whatshan.

Warm temperatures and sun are forming cohesive slabs over a widespread weak layer, which may be triggered by people.
During times of uncertainty, stick to conservative terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to how buried persistent weak layers will react with the forecast weather.
  • We are uncertain due to the timing or intensity of warming will affect the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, numerous natural slab avalanches, rider-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches (up to size 2.5) continue to be reported. These avalanches released on the late January surface hoar layer/crust mentioned in the snowpack summary. Numerous wet loose natural avalanches were seen on steep slopes up to size 1.5.

Avalanche danger continues on Friday due to warming temperatures and sun exposure.

Snowpack Summary

A melt-freeze crust may be present up to mountain top, but it will likely soften through the day with warm temperatures and sunshine.

A persistent slab 30 to 50 cm thick sits above the late January surface hoar/facet/ crust layer. It continues to surprise people with its reactivity, especially in sheltered treeline features.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Clear skies. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

Friday
Sunny. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

Saturday
Mix of sun and clouds. 3 to 10 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Sunday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.



More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Stay away from steep slopes, open slopes, and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.
  • Avoid travelling on slopes below cornices.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.