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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 3rd, 2024–Jan 4th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky, Brandywine, Garibaldi, Homathko, Spearhead, Tantalus, Sky Pilot, Birkenhead.

Soft snow over a robust crust is making for decent treeline riding, and lower avalanche danger.

Caution in steep, wind-loaded alpine, especially on rocky slopes with variable snow depths.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday in the whistler area, a few small, human triggered wind slab avalanches were reported in the alpine, some of them running far on a hard surface underneath.

Surprising, large avalanches were occurring late in December on a weak layer over a crust down 50-100 cm, but this layer seems to be bonding, and no related avalanches have been reported in the new year.

Snowpack Summary

25-35 cm of new or settling snow over a frozen crust formed around the new year that may exist up to mountain tops. This crust seems to be thick, and supportive to the weight of a human south of Whistler, and more variable in thickness and strength to the north, where it thins out above 1900 m.

Below this crust, facets or isolated surface hoar are sitting on another crust 50-100 cm below the snow surface. This layer produced surprising avalanches late in December, but it appears to have gained strength, or is being shielded by the newer crust, and is now less of a concern.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded. Treeline snowpack depths are in the 60-100 cm range, decreasing rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy. 5-10 cm of snow expected above 600 m. Light south or southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -3 ° C.

Thursday

Cloudy. 5 cm of snow expected above 800 m. Light to moderate south or southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -4 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy. 10-15 cm of snow expected above 500 m. Light to moderate south or southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -6 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. 15-20 cm of snow expected to near valley bottom. Light northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -7 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.