Avalanche forecast

Blue River

Jan 2 – 3, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Despite a decrease in avalanche hazard, the presence of multiple weak layers deep within the snowpack remains a cause for concern.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    A layer of surface hoar is down 50 to 90 cm; an ideal depth for large, human-triggered avalanches.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2–3.5

    With basal facets, shallow snowpack areas are the most likely trigger points.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A large (size 3), naturally triggered deep persistent slab avalanche in alpine terrain was reported Saturday. It occurred just north of Glacier National Park.

Have a look at this blog post that highlights several recent, similar large avalanches occurring on layers deep within the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack is generally well-settled and consolidated with no significant layers of concern.

A layer of surface hoar down roughly 50 to 90 cm remains problematic despite many recent signs of reactivity. A hard crust above this layer likely protects it from human-triggering at lower elevations.

Weak basal facets characterize the bottom of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Monday night

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, southwest alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature - 7 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -7 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with trace snow amounts, south alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.

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