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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2026–Feb 21st, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Dogtooth, East Purcell.

New snow may still need time to settle and bond.

Watch for wind-loaded pockets.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to a highly variable snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, there were numerous small, dry loose avalanches in the storm snow.

On Wednesday, there were reports of a a few size 1 skier controlled and remotely triggered storm snow avalanches.

Going forward, low density storm snow will likely release as dry loose avalanches, slab formation is possible in areas that receive over 20 cm of storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 20 cm of low-density storm snow continues to bury weak layers in the upper snowpack.

Weak layer depths and distribution are variable, but there are two prominent layers:

  • A facet/crust layer buried at the end of January is down roughly 30 to 50 cm.

  • A surface hoar/crust layer buried early to mid-February is down 15 to 20 cm.

Avalanche activity on these layers has been limited and is generally small with releases where wind loading has buried them slightly deeper.

Cutbanks and sheltered below treeline terrain are suspect places to trigger these layers where they are buried over 30 cm deep.

Below this, the mid and lower snowpack are well settled with several layers of crust

Weather Summary

Friday Night
Mostly clear skies. 10 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C.

Saturday
Mostly sunny. 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Sunday
Mostly sunny. 25 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Monday
Mix of sun and clouds. Up to 5 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.