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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 12th, 2026–Apr 13th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Last day of low avalanche danger—be prepared to manage variable crusts, isothermal snow, and lingering cornices if you head out.

Confidence

High

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches have been reported recently, and under current conditions, very little activity is expected. If you get out into the backcountry, post a MIN!

Snowpack Summary

As the freezing level drops, a trace of new snow will fall on the old surface above 1300 m. Cloud cover and light rain have limited crust recovery, keeping the snowpack weak and near isothermal as it gradually melts. About 20 cm of snow has been lost at treeline over the past week.

Little change is expected at lower elevations. Watch for slushy, isothermal conditions—these can make travel difficult and increase the likelihood of wet loose avalanches.

Snow depths remain around 170 cm at 1350 m, but the pack is thinning quickly, especially on solar aspects.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy. 1 to 2 mm of rain at treeline. 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Monday

Cloudy. 1 to 3 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy. 15 to 25 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.

Wednesday

Mix of sun and clouds. 1 to 4 cm of snow. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.