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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 28th, 2021–Dec 29th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Cold temperatures continue to be the primary hazard for backcountry travelers. Be aware that even a small injury or equipment issue may have serious consequences.

Watch out for wind slab in non typical locations.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Trace precipitation.

Alpine temp: high -21 C.

Wind W: 15 km/h.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Trace precipitation.

Alpine temp: high -21 C.

Wind NW: 10 km/h

Friday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine high -21

Wind West 10km/h

Snowpack Summary

Variable wind direction continues to build wind slab on exposed terrain features at treeline & above. Expect dry loose avalanches in steep, wind sheltered terrain. The mid-pack is supportive with an exception of a weakening crust interface down 30-40 cm (upto 1950m). Cold temperatures promoting top down facetting through-out the region

Avalanche Summary

Size one dry loose avalanches observed in steep unsupported terrain near weeping wall dec 27.

A size 2 natural wind slab avalanche was noted on the east aspect of Mt. Hilda at approx. 2400m. Estimated date dec 25.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.