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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2026–Jan 5th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold.

Storm slabs have been reactive in the region.

Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Avalanche Summary

Jan 3

  • Naturally triggered storm slabs up to size 3 were observed in the Selkirks.

  • Storm slabs were reactive to ski cuts in the Monashees and Selkirks, producing several size 1 to 1.5 avalanches.

Jan 1

  • In the Monashees, a skier triggered a size 1.5 wind slab on a wind-loaded roll in the alpine.

Dec 31

  • Several size 1 to 2 storm slabs were triggered with explosive control in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

Approximately 20–40 cm of recent storm snow may be resting on a weak layer of surface hoar in many areas. An additional 5–15 cm of snow is expected by Monday mid-morning, accompanied by southwesterly winds.

The prominent mid-December crust is buried up to 130cm deep, and is present up to 2300 m. Triggering this layer is considered unlikely, except with large loads or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Monday
Cloudy. 2 to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Tuesday
Cloudy. 15 to 30 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Wednesday
Cloudy. 5 to 20 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Keep your guard up at lower elevations. Storms slabs have been reactive at all elevations.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.