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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2022–Dec 25th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Chic-Choc Mountains.

Conditions are extremely different according to the elevation.

Watch for wind-loaded features as you move through open terrain above 650 m.

Have a Happy and safe Holiday! 🎅

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche Quebec field team has observed live an avalanche in motion on a north-easterly slope at treeline. This small slab was triggered naturally by the intense wind loading on the upper slopes.

Please continue to share your observations at [email protected], or with the Mountain Information Network. It helps strengthen our data gathering.

Snowpack Summary

The weather bomb left 25-35 mm of precipitation in all forms: rain, ice pellet, and snow. Below 650 m, 3-5 cm of light snow overlies the impressive crust (2 cm thick) formed by the thaw cycle and rain event of December 23. Above 650 m, heavy storm snow has piled on sheltered slopes from extreme southerly winds. The surface of windward alpine slopes are showing crust or bare ground. The average snowpack height is still very thin, averaging around 25 cm in the valley to 65 cm at mid-mountain.Despite the fresh snow supply, snow conditions remain hazardous. Crust and obstacles such as rocks, stumps, trees and trunks can still be found barely buried under this white blanket.

Weather Summary

Forecast for the Chic-Chocs ridges and summits. A vicious cold front is sweeping across the region Saturday and Sunday. An unsettled westerly flow will persist early next week, with additional light flurries and moderate to strong southwest winds.

Saturday night and evening: Lingering flurries. Southwest winds 40 km/h. Low of -16C. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. Isolated flurries. Southwest winds 40 km/h. High of -12CMonday: A mix of sun and clouds. Isolated flurries. Westerly winds 40 km/h. High of -14C.

Tuesday: Mainly cloudy. Isolated flurries. Southwesterly winds 40 km/h, gusting 60 km/h. High of -16C.

For more details, check out the Chic-Chocs alpine weather forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Recent new snow may be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.