Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 15th, 2022–Dec 16th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells, Dogtooth, East Purcell.

We have uncertainty around the reactivity of a buried weak layer that produced large rider-triggered avalanches last weekend. Read our latest blog for advice on how to manage a persistent slab problem.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

In the past week, we've had multiple reports of persistent slab avalanches on a buried weak layer. On the weekend, two skier-triggered size 2 avalanches were reported ~40 cm deep at treeline near Golden. Otherwise, persistent slab avalanches throughout the region have been mostly explosive controlled, size 1-2.

In the neighboring central Columbia and west Kootenay regions, where it is buried deeper, this layer has produced several alarming rider-triggered avalanches. Unfortunately, more likely than not, this is a sign of what is to come for the Purcells.

Snowpack Summary

Variable surfaces range from hard old wind slabs at wind exposed elevations to soft, unconsolidated facets in sheltered areas.

A concerning weak layer composed of surface hoar, facets and/or a crust that formed in mid November is now buried 15-40 cm deep. Avalanche activity has been observed on this layer and is expected to continue as the overlying snow takes on more slab character due to settlement, wind and additional snow load.

Alpine snowpack distribution is variable, with depths ranging from 40 to 140 cm.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Increasing cloud. Light northwest wind. Alpine low -13 C.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate northwest ridgetop wind. Alpine high of -10 C.

Saturday

Scattered flurries bringing a trace of snow. Light to moderate northwest wind. Alpine high of -12 C.

Sunday

Scattered flurries bringing a trace of snow. Light to moderate southwest wind. Alpine high of -20 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.