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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2024–Feb 16th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary, Bonnington, Grohman, Kootenay Pass, Norns, Rossland, South Okanagan, Ymir, Crawford, Moyie, St. Mary.

Utilize small-scale features to assess how the new snow is bonding, before progressing to larger terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, near Nelson and east of Kelowna, numerous large (size 2) wind slab avalanches had been initiated utilizing explosives. Near the Nelson area, a large (size 2) skier-triggered avalanche on a southwest aspect occurred following a period of moderate north east winds.

A few wet loose avalanches were reported on Tuesday from slopes facing the sun.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 20 cm of recent snow combined with winds from all directions has transported this snow and formed wind slabs that have been reactive to skier triggering. 10 to 20 cm of recent storm snow sits on a layer of small surface hoar which may lurk in sheltered areas. In some places, the new snow and surface hoar sits on a thin sun crust.

A thick rain crust from early February is now buried 30 to 40 cm deep and seems well-bonded at lower elevations.

Crusts and facets in the mid and lower snowpack can still be found in isolated pockets.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly clear skies. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.

Friday

Mostly clear skies. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

Saturday

Mostly clear skies. 20 to 50 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3°C.

Sunday

Clear skies becoming cloudy in the afternoon. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Investigate the bond of the recent snow
  • Start with conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.