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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 1st, 2025–Feb 2nd, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary, Bonnington, Grohman, Kootenay Pass, Norns, Rossland, Ymir, Crawford, Moyie, St. Mary.

Conservative terrain selection is essential. Avalanches are likely due to continued snow and wind.

Check out the new Forecaster Blog "Shifting your Mindset".

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Many human-triggered avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported on Friday. Some of the slab avalanches were remote-triggered by vehicles or skiers. Size 1 dry loose avalanches were also reported.

Human-triggered avalanches will be likely on Sunday. Natural avalanches could occur in wind-loaded areas.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing snow and wind will build reactive storm slabs over the weekend. By Sunday afternoon storm totals could reach 35 cm in the Monashees and Purcells and up to 50 cm in the Selkirks.

The new snow will bond poorly to old surfaces, which include melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar or facets on shaded slopes, and wind-affected snow in exposed terrain.

The upper snowpack may contain one or more buried surface hoar layers from January. While not currently reactive, they could become a problem with the loading from this storm.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with up to 10 cm of snow, greatest north of Nelson. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Tuesday

Clearing with a chance of flurries. 15 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • It's a good day to make conservative terrain choices.
  • Choose simple, low-angle terrain without steep convex rolls.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.