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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2025–Jan 31st, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Coquihalla, Manning.

Reactive storm slabs are forming. Avoid avalanche terrain during heavy snowfall.

Areas with less than 15 cm of new snow by Friday afternoon will see lesser danger.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported. We are coming out of a long period of warm, dry conditions, and low avalanche danger. Now, with significant new snow and strong wind in the forecast, we anticipate avalanche activity will be likely on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

New snow is accumulating. By late Friday afternoon, storm totals are expected to reach 25 cm in the western parts of the region, accompanied by moderate southwesterly winds at ridgetops. The southeastern parts of the region near Manning Park, are expecting 10 to 15 cm. If these snowfall amounts play out, the avalanche danger will be lower there.

The new snow is falling on a hard crust, facets or surface hoar, and is expected to build reactive storm slabs. Our biggest concern will be how quickly the new snow will bond - we expect it to take several days or longer. Otherwise, the mid and lower snowpack remains dense, well-settled, and free of concerning layers.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with 3 to 10 cm of snow - Highest amounts forecast for the northwestern parts of the region. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with 5 to 20 cm of snow - Highest amounts forecast for the northwestern parts of the region. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -2 °C. Freezing level 500 m rising to 1500 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 10 to 15 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -12 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
  • Use conservative route selection and resist venturing into complex terrain.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.