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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 25th, 2025–Jan 26th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kitimat, Nass, Rupert, Seven Sisters, Shames, Howson.

It's uncertain if warm weather will cause weak layers in the snowpack to become reactive.

Take a conservative approach until conditions are clear.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

Friday: A few small storm slabs were rider-triggered near Shames on a south aspect at treeline.

Thursday: There were many small and large (size 2) storm slabs and dry loose avalanches. Both rider and naturally-triggered.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 of settling snow from earlier this week sits on either old wind affected layers or possibly surface hoar in sheltered spots. In exposed areas, soft snow has been redistributed into wind slabs.

100 to 200 cm deep in the snowpack are layers of crust, facets, and possibly surface hoar that were buried in December. Warm temperatures are expected to increase the reactivity of this layer.

The lower snowpack is generally well-settled and unconcerning.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy. 20 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C with a temperature inversion.

Sunday

A mix of sun and clouds. 20 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C with a temperature inversion.

Monday

A mix of sun and increasing cloud. 30 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C with a temperature inversion.

Tuesday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.