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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2026–Jan 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes, Waterton.

A thick surface crust has formed all aspects and all elevations making travel and skiing poor. Solar slopes in the high alpine may soften on Saturday during an inversion and even become isothermal. Pay close attention to the solar impact if the crust breaks down in the afternoon.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed since surface crust formed on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Surface snow at all elevations become moist last week and is now refrozen into a thick surface crust.

The mid pack consists of settled snow, with the late December crust down 65-90 cm deep.

The lower snowpack is refrozen rain effected layers, which are still moist at ground in places.

Weather Summary

Sat

Sunny with increasing ridge wind up to 50km in the afternoon. Strong temperature inversion in the alpine above 2200m with temps of +5°C possible.

Sun

Overcast with alpine temps falling to -10°C through the day. Winds 25km/h NE with chance of light flurries

Mon

Broken skies, alpine high -2°C. Winds increasing to 50km/h with another alpine inversion possible

Current weather forecast: Mountain Weather Forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Limit exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.