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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2015–Feb 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Checkout the latest South Rockies Blog for more details on conditions.Please become a member of Avalanche Canada today by going to avalanche.ca/membership

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Mainly sunny and dry for Wednesday with some cloud cover and possible flurries expected for Thursday and especially Friday. Above freezing alpine temperatures are expected on Wednesday; however, freezing levels should drop back down to 1700 m for Thursday and 1500 m Friday, and valley bottoms overnight throughout the forecast period. Light southwesterly winds are expected to pick up to moderate throughout the day on Wednesday, before decreasing to light on Thursday and shifting to northwesterlies on Friday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

A thick supportive crust has frozen on the surface at lower elevations, with a trace amount of fresh snow on top in some places. Two weak crusts in the snowpack remain a concern for persistent slabs and step-down avalanches. One buried mid-January was recently found down 70 cm and and the other buried mid-December was found down 135 cm at treeline where the total depth was 200 cm.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.