Warmth remains the primary driver of avalanche hazard as we shift into a more spring like pattern. Minimize your exposure to large slopes if the snowpack is becoming moist or wet.
Confidence
Fair - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Expect a mix of sun and cloud on Friday. On Saturday, a pacific front will move inland although only trace amounts of new snow are expected. By Sunday, a short-lived ridge should bring mainly clear skies. Ridgetop winds should be light from the southwest, becoming moderate with Saturday's pulse. Daytime freezing levels should hover around 1500m.
Avalanche Summary
We have had no recent reports of avalanche activity.
Snowpack Summary
Observations have been extremely limited, although I expect light amounts of low-density snow overlie a widespread and supportive melt-freeze crust,. Gusty winds may have redistributed the surface snow resulting in wind slab formation in the alpine. The mid-March rain crust is down 35 to 70cm and has shown a good bond with snow above. Old persistent weak layers are still intact in the mid and lower snowpack and there may be potential for these layers to wake up with a big cornice fall, sustained warming and/or a significant rain event.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Cornices
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.