Avalanche forecast

Sawtooth & Western Smoky Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Triggering a large avalanche is possible. Avoiding steep, rocky terrain where the wind has drifted or stiffened the snow surface will reduce your chances of finding trouble. Loose snow avalanches are possible on very steep, rocky slopes facing the sun.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    You're mostly likely to trigger a dense, 2-5 foot thick slab avalanche on slopes facing the northern 2/3 of the compass, where the wind frequently blows, and the snowpack depth is variable. Avalanches are easier to trigger in thin spots at the edges of slabs. Here are some characteristics of suspect slopes:

    • Wind-pillows, and textured surfaces where the wind has moved snow  
    • Rocks sticking out of the snow and wind-scouring along mid-slope gullies
    • Terrain steeper than about 35 degrees. Slides most likely wheresome part of the slope is at least 35 degrees. 

    Remotely triggering an avalanche from flat terrain near steep slopes remains a possibility. If you do trigger an avalanche, you probably won't observe obvious signs of instability like snowpack collapsing or cracking beforehand. 

    Additional Discussion: Loose snow avalanches are possible on very steep slopes facing the sun. These often initiate near exposed rocks. Most will be small, but some may grow large enough to bury you beneath large slopes and in funneled terrain. You can reduce your risk by limiting your time spent beneath sun-drenched slopes that look like this, especially during the heat of the afternoon.  

    (12/31/2024) Large Persistent Slab avalanches like this one are possible at middle and upper-elevation terrain, especially in wind-affect areas or areas harboring a shallower snowpack.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Wet snow avalanches are possible on very steep slopes facing the sun. Yesterday, several loose snow avalanches were observed in alpine terrain. At least one slide in the neighboring Boulder Mountains flanked out into a wet slab. We have the benefit of a light SW and W breeze today, which may help keep things cool, but we've also got a jump start on warming as mountain temperatures hovered near or potentially above freezing. Wet avalanches often initiate near exposed rocks. Most will be small, but some may grow large enough to bury you beneath large slopes and in funneled terrain. You can reduce your risk by limiting your time spent beneath sun-drenched slopes like the one pictured at right/below, especially during the heat of the afternoon.  

    (1/15/2025)

    Small wet loose avalanches in the Sawtooth Mountains. South facing slopes near 9,500'.

    Photo: Sawtooth Avalanche Center

Avalanche Discussion

You are most likely to trigger avalanches in the southeastern corner of this zone (Salmon River Headwaters, Frenchman Creek, and the mountains near the mouths of Smiley and Beaver Creeks), where significantly more recent avalanche activity was reported, and the snowpack is a little thinner compared to the western Smokys and Sawtooths.

Avalanches will be difficult to trigger where mid-December weak layers are buried more than about 3 feet deep. Yesterday, we found a deep and generally stable snowpack in Alturas Lk Creek. Despite this, we cautiously chose slopes with uniform, planar entrances and short sections of lower-angle avalanche terrain (low 30-degree slopes).

Continue to practice safe travel protocols. Travel with a skilled partner and keep each other in sight. If you choose to enter avalanche terrain, do so one at a time and stack the odds in your favor by avoiding slopes that end in terrain traps like thick trees, cliffs, and creek bottoms.

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